Funding the Future | Matching The Demand For Aircraft With The Supply Of Capital
Avolon has recently completed a detailed analysis of the financing requirements for the airline industry’s new aircraft deliveries over the coming decade. The results are published in a discussion paper entitled “Funding the Future – Matching the Demand of Aircraft with the Supply of Capital”. The paper summarises the supply and demand drivers underpinning the growth of commercial aviation, sets out Avolon’s forecast of future deliveries and examines the main sources of financing that support the airlines, lessors and manufacturers. The paper also examines the scale of the financing challenge and suggests how the various funding channels will develop over the next ten years. The paper identifies a requirement for new funding sources, describes their likely characteristics and sets out the case for substantial investment in, and funding of, operating lessors by global financial institutions, which will be a crucial element of the future financing mix for the industry.
World Fleet Forecast 2013
By Dick Forsberg, Head of Strategy
Avolon has prepared its 2013 World Fleet Forecast that projects growth and changes in the global commercial jet fleet over a 20 year period, including aircraft deliveries, storage, retirements and passenger-to-freighter conversions. For passenger aircraft, the resulting capacity is compared to a forecast of annual worldwide passenger traffic demand. The resulting load factors are used to measure changes in operating efficiency and to estimate the level of capacity surplus or shortfall. Freighter aircraft capacity is benchmarked against forecast demand for air cargo and the proportion of the total that is expected to be transported on dedicated cargo aircraft.
Download the Forecast»
Avolon issues analysis of transition to Neo and MAX aircraft
Avolon’s second white paper on industry issues considers how the transition from A320ceo/737NG aircraft to A320Neo/737MAX aircraft will influence the single aisle aircraft market over the rest of the decade and beyond. The anticipated benefits offered by the new models are examined, as are the challenges involved in bringing them to market and the impact of new models on the value of current generation A320 and 737 variants.
Download white paper»
22 February 2013
2013 New Year Outlook:
The Dawn of a Golden Age in Aviation
With the holiday season over, it’s time to dust off the crystal ball and look ahead at what the coming year may have in store.